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Depending on the underlying principles, market analysis can be technical or fundamental. The concept of technical analysis is based on the assertion that the demand-supply ratio, which reflects the price chart, is subject to the laws of mathematics.
According to a fundamental analysis, the market is changing solely due to political, economic and financial factors. Against this background, fundamental analysis evaluates economic, financial and political information that directly or indirectly influences market price movements. In particular, the main economic indicators of leading economies that can affect the exchange rates of major currencies.
The following indicators are significant: gross national product; gross domestic product; inflation rate; unemployment rate; consumer and production price indices; commodity index; industrial price index; balance of payments and trade.
Gross national product (GNP), which includes indicators such as consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports, is a key indicator of the national economy. There is a direct correlation between GNP and the exchange rate. High GDP indicates good economic performance and inflows of foreign investment, which increase demand for the national currency. Continued GDP growth can lead to inflation. Interest rates are used to lower inflation, leading to increased demand for currency.
The unemployment rate shows the ratio between the number of unemployed and the total number of able-bodied people. It should not exceed the 6% mark. Unemployment growth has a negative effect on the exchange rate, which is beginning to fall. Inflation, which is measured by the rate of price growth, has a similar effect on the exchange rate. In this case, inflation and unemployment are inversely proportional.
The analysis also includes events relevant to the political course of different countries: elections, economic reforms, international agreements and others. The main financial factor considered by analysts is the level of real interest rates of central banks, which determines the overall return on investment in the country's economy. A rise of the indicator creates favorable conditions for the growth of the national currency.
In addition, the national currency is affected by natural disasters, acts of terrorism, emergencies and other unpredictable events. According to the complexity of assessing the large number of different indicators in different countries, fundamental analysis is professionally conducted by qualified analysts of relevant organizations. Learn more on https://startearnwithcurrency.online/
The main financial factor considered by analysts is the level of real interest rates of central banks, which determines the overall return on investment in the country's economy.
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